Buckminster Fuller wrote, "We are called to be architects of the future, not its victims."
Speaking of architects, Fuller was one, as well as a systems thinker and inventor who, among many other creations, came up with the Geodesic Dome, the innovative and accurate Dymaxion map, and the futurist Dymaxion car.
Fuller also invented a word: Ephemeralization, the ability of technological advancement to do "more and more with less and less until eventually you can do everything with nothing." According to Wikipedia, his vision was "that ephemeralization will result in ever-increasing standards of living for an ever-growing population despite finite resources."
Nice vision. Bucky was a guy who could hack a paradigm.
Speaking of ephemeralization, let's consider some of the things that a smart phone replaces - stuff we used to need for the functions now provided by a device small enough to carry in a pocket or purse:
- Portable Music Player, aka "Boom box" aka "iPod"
- Television (via Hulu)
- GPS Device
- Fax Machine
- Box that plays movies through your TV aka "VHS Player" aka "DVD Player" aka "Blu Ray Player"
- Notepad for shopping lists
- Music Instrument Tuner
- Video Camera
- Chess Set
- Radar Detector (via Waze)
And this list could go on, but let's move on to our four recent examples of ephemeralization through paradigm shifts:
- Elon Musk has given us more car with less (in fact, zero) fossil fuels needed in the Tesla: the first mass-produced electric car that I've wanted to own.
- Steve Jobs started a revolution with the iPhone, giving us more screen area, and thus a more usable computer, in a pocket-size smart phone by moving the dialing to the screen.
- The Amazon Kindle was at the forefront of making it possible to carry thousands of books around with you.
- Netflix has brought thousands of movies into millions of homes without the need for any physical media.
These new Paradigms, in addition to their Paradigm Leaders, also had Paradigm Adapters, and Paradigm Victims, as you'll see in the chart below:
|Paradigm||Fast and cool electric cars||Touchscreen smartphones||Read books on a tablet||Streaming Movies|
|Paradigm Leader||Tesla||iPhone||Amazon Kindle||Netflix|
|Paradigm Adapter||Porsche, with the Mission E||Samsung||Barnes and Noble Nook||Amazon Prime Video|
|Paradigm Victim||VW with Dieselgate||Blackberry||Borders Bookstores||Blockbuster|
More about the adapters and victims of these four paradigm shifts:
- Porsche, is playing catch-up as the Paradigm Adapter to the Tesla with it's Mission E, which looks to be pretty awesome but is lagging behind the Tesla Model S by many years in the marketplace, even if it launches when planned. Its parent company, VW, is the Paradigm Victim (by its own doing) - suffering through the repercussions of cheating its way to performance with diesels, a way of economizing our driving that is looking ever more outdated every year.
- Samsung as Paradigm Adapter followed Apple to market with products similar enough to Apple's to trigger a stream of lawsuits. Blackberry, the Paradigm Victim kept their touch-keyboard to their detriment.
- Barnes and Noble played the Paradigm Adapter with the Nook e-reader while Borders Bookstores, with no e-reader of their own, wore the hat of the Paradigm Victim and failed.
- In video, Amazon has been the Paradigm Adapter with its counter to Netflix in the form of Amazon Prime Video. Blockbuster, straddled with a huge inventory of physical movie media, became a Paradigm Victim.
Learning to perceive and adapt to new paradigms early can avoid the paradigm paralysis that otherwise could have made one a Paradigm Victim...
The greatest spoils, however, go to those who see the invisible and bring it to life: The Paradigm Leaders - those who can hack a paradigm, not just in themselves, but in the marketplace. Subscribe to join me in this evolving story.
“…one lives and analyses data within a frame, unaware that the solution is most often just outside of that frame. Never underestimate the depth of your subjectivity.” Darrell Calkins